عنوان مقاله [English]
Background and Aim. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between fluctuations in macroeconomic indicator) and robbery based on official statistics of the country in recent years (economic sanctions period) in order to be able to share any of the variables. Identify and identify the independent.
Methodology: In this research, quantitative analysis method with longitudinal-comparative approach was applied and the analysis was done in both and explanatory levels. At the descriptive level, the technique of frequency tables and rates is used. At the explanatory level, correlation and regression techniques have been used and the theoretical model of research has been analyzed by secondary analysis of the official statistical data of the Iranian Statistical Center on theft as a dependent variable and macro and important economic indicators (unemployment, inflation and economic growth) as independent variables of the research. During the 7 year period (from 2009 to 2015), he was tested empirically.
Results: According to the results of this study, the correlation coefficient of theft with variables (inflation rate, unemployment rate and economic growth) is 0.757. The proportion of variance of robbery explained by these variables is 0.557 and considering the obtained significance level (error level less than 0.05) it can be said that independent variables are able to explain part of the variation of robbery variable.
Conclusion: Based on the findings, it can be concluded that the independent variables are the influencing factors on theft so that the effect of variables (inflation and unemployment) on direct theft is that by increasing or decreasing each of them, the rate of theft is also Decreased or increased and the variable relationship of economic growth with robbery has been reversed, in other words, based on official statistics, and using scientific methods, the existence of such relationships has been confirmed and proven.